Analysis Markets The ups and downs of PIF’s US holdings Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund (PIF) has made some big gains but has also been hit by some substantial losses in listed US companies in the five years since it began publishing its holdings, AGBI analysis shows. Overall, the value of its assets in publicly traded companies in the US has plunged 55 percent from […] March 28, 2025
Analysis Banking and Finance Caution advised over upsurge in Kuwaiti bank shares Shares in Kuwaiti banks are hitting new highs as investors bet on a long-mooted change in the law on mortgages coming into force soon and spurring a boom in property financing. However, analysts are warning that the sector’s equity rally may prove unjustified, with any earnings windfall unlikely to be as substantial as those enjoyed […] March 26, 2025
Finance International investors target Saudi IPOs and smaller caps Emerging market investors are increasingly targeting Saudi Arabia’s smaller listed companies and initial public offerings, because of their better stock price performance versus their bigger peers. Since early 2020, foreign investors have been net buyers of almost $34 billion of Saudi Arabian equities, a report by the Dubai-based consultancy Iridium Advisors has revealed. Much of […] March 24, 2025
Analysis Markets Foreign investors still underweight on Gulf stocks International investors have pumped more than $60 billion into Gulf stocks over the past five years but their share of ownership is still relatively low, putting into question the success of GCC states’ economic diversification policies. Governments in the world’s largest oil-producing region have long sought to increase foreign direct investment into their economies and […] March 21, 2025
Telecoms Abu Dhabi’s Mubadala considers selling stake in du Abu Dhabi sovereign fund Mubadala may sell its stake in du, the UAE’s second-largest telecom operator by subscribers, which if added to the free float would boost the stock’s chances of being included in emerging market indexes. Admittance to the MSCI and FTSE emerging market benchmarks means that exchange-traded funds which track these measures must […] March 20, 2025
Analysis Banking and Finance Saudi banks have room to expand lending The loan books of Saudi Arabian banks now exceed their total deposits, which might normally be a warning sign that the sector’s finances are under strain. Yet the Saudi Central Bank (Sama) takes a more nuanced approach to calculating loan-to-deposit ratios, an important metric known in the industry as LDR. Sama’s assessment indicates that lenders […] March 20, 2025
Markets High hopes for Kuwait reforms lift its stock market Kuwait’s stock market is the Gulf’s top performer this year as local and foreign investors bet that economic reforms and increased infrastructure spending will bolster corporate profits. Investors seem more confident Kuwait will make good on its long-awaited plans following the suspension of parliament last May. Parliament and the government were often at loggerheads, derailing […] March 20, 2025
Banking and Finance Emirates NBD downplays reports of Egyptian acquisition Emirates NBD, Dubai’s largest bank by assets, has refuted media reports that it is undertaking due diligence on a state-owned Egyptian bank ahead of potentially buying a stake in the lender. Last week, Kuwaiti and Egyptian media published articles detailing how Emirates NBD – which has an Egyptian subsidiary – had begun examining the books […] March 18, 2025
Economy Kuwait gets closer to tapping debt markets to fund infrastructure Kuwait has moved a step closer to selling debt on the international markets again after the cabinet approved a draft decree that should help the country fund multibillion-dollar infrastructure projects. Historically the country has had little need to borrow thanks to its oil revenue and relatively unambitious spending plans. Kuwait last sold dollar-denominated bonds in […] March 17, 2025
Banking and Finance Emirates NBD to buy stake in Egypt’s Banque du Caire Emirates NBD, Dubai’s largest bank by assets, has begun due diligence ahead of buying a stake in Egypt’s sixth-largest commercial bank, Banque du Caire. The purchase would be the latest sale of a government-owned asset in a stalled privatisation programme, according to regional media. Egypt agreed an expanded $8 billion loan from the International Monetary […] March 13, 2025
Infrastructure Project finance central to funding Gulf infrastructure Financing a project and project finance are not necessarily the same thing. Irrespective, project finance is as important as ever in the Gulf in funding billions of dollars of infrastructure projects, from energy and water schemes to data centres and battery storage facilities, according to experts. Abbas Hussein, global head of infrastructure and development finance […] March 13, 2025
Analysis Banking and Finance The changing face of project finance around the Gulf Contrasting trends are emerging in Gulf project finance, with deals increasing in duration but also more likely to be refinanced early. Project finance is a funding model often used for infrastructure, in which repayment comes from revenue generated by the completed facility rather than being guaranteed by the owners. “Repayment depends on the project succeeding,” […] March 12, 2025
Markets Alpha Data listing brightens up gloomy ADX Shares in Abu Dhabi’s Alpha Data surged on the company’s bourse debut, outperforming a subdued main market index. The first-day performance of the IT services provider contrasts with the struggles of several companies to list on UAE stock exchanges following initial public offerings in the past 12 months. Alpha Data ended 7 percent higher at […] March 11, 2025
Banking and Finance Asset securitisation in the Gulf takes its first baby steps Asset securitisation, a $14 trillion business in the United States, seems to be finally gaining ground in the Gulf. Last week the UAE lender Deem Finance sealed a $400 million asset securitisation deal with JP Morgan. Emirates NBD of Dubai and Rasmal Ventures in Qatar have also co-invested $7.6 million in the Turkish startup TeamSec, […] March 11, 2025
Analysis Markets Gulf investors urged to switch from petrochems to fertiliser Gulf fertiliser companies are trading below their fair value, with investors not seeming to price in a rebound in product prices that analysts say is more than just a seasonal upswing. In the Gulf, fertilisers and petrochemicals are considered adjacent industries, since both rely on natural gas as a feedstock. While petrochemical companies’ earnings have […] March 7, 2025
Analysis Banking and Finance Mashreq and First Abu Dhabi winning bank efficiency race Dubai’s Mashreq bank, the UAE’s fifth-largest by assets, slashed its cost-to-income ratio, an important banking metric, last year thanks to the partial sale of a subsidiary and more customers switching to non-interest-bearing accounts. The cost-to-income ratio shows the relation between income and the cost of acquiring that income. A declining ratio suggests that a bank […] March 5, 2025
Analysis Oil & Gas Saudi deficit to rise after $40bn loss in Aramco oil dividends A projected 30 percent drop in Saudi Aramco’s oil dividends in 2025 is likely to force the government and state-owned Saudi Public Investment Fund to step up borrowing to fund infrastructure and other projects under the kingdom’s Vision 2030 economic and social strategy, analysts say. The world’s largest oil company intends to cut dividends to […] March 4, 2025
Analysis Markets Blue chip dividend yields in UAE beat US and Europe Most UAE blue chip stocks provide much higher dividend yields than their counterparts in Europe and the United States, an AGBI analysis shows. The top 20 largest listed UAE businesses, excluding two non-dividend paying companies, offer an average dividend yield of 4.7 percent. This is almost 60 percent better than the average yield of 1.9 […] February 28, 2025
Manufacturing EV maker Lucid’s CEO quits as total losses hit $13bn Peter Rawlinson, the CEO of the Saudi Arabia-backed electric car maker Lucid Motors, has resigned after the Californian company’s total accumulated losses rose to almost $13 billion. Earlier this week, Lucid announced that its losses in 2024 were up almost 11 percent to $3.1 billion, from $2.8 billion the year before. Shares in Lucid, which […] February 26, 2025
Analysis Petrochemicals Petrochemicals ‘won’t even get fleeting respite’, analysts warn Executives and investors in Saudi petrochemicals could be forgiven for needing a break from industry news after its biggest companies report what are widely expected to be lacklustre results for the final quarter of 2024. They won’t be getting that pause any time soon, however. Extra production capacity that was expected in 2024 is instead […] February 26, 2025
Analysis Petrochemicals Gloomy outlook for Saudi petrochemicals Saudi Arabia’s 10 listed petrochemical companies are likely to report lacklustre earnings for the fourth quarter of 2024 because of an ongoing downturn in the global chemicals industry, analysts predict. The sector’s prolonged malaise means they are likely to be of little interest to international institutional investors – although all enjoy significant cost advantages over […] February 25, 2025
Opinion Employment New UAE gratuity scheme could leave staff worse off Replacing end-of-service benefit with a defined contribution fund could cost expat workers thousands February 20, 2025