Analysis Trade Gulf likely to escape Trump tariffs, analysts say Saudi Arabia, the UAE and the other Gulf Arab states are likely to escape US President Donald Trump’s tariff ire, analysts say. This is because the world’s largest economy by and large runs a trade surplus with them, their value added tax (VAT) is relatively low and they peg their currencies to the US dollar. […] February 14, 2025
Opinion Industry How Trump’s tariffs could reshape Gulf aluminium exports Ports, shipping, transport and logistics services must be ready to react quickly February 14, 2025
Banking & Finance US banks buy Dubai gold to counter potential tariffs Dubai is among several global gold centres benefiting from fears among US banks that President Donald Trump might impose duties on the precious metal, analysts say. A backlog at refining facilities in Switzerland has added to US banks’ concerns about the availability of bullion. “There is now a real concern about the tariffs being imposed […] February 13, 2025
Opinion Banking & Finance GCC banks will prosper under Trump’s presidency The challenge for Gulf banks will be to keep their balance and focus in a volatile policy landscape February 13, 2025
Analysis Trade $600bn Saudi-US trade pledge ‘unlikely to be achieved’ Saudi Arabia’s pledge to increase trade and investment with the US to at least $600 billion over President Trump’s four-year term is “very optimistic” and “unlikely to be achieved,” according to a Washington-based think tank. Instead the kingdom is prioritising domestic projects and faces lower oil revenue. The commitment was made by Crown Prince Mohammed […] February 13, 2025
Manufacturing What Trump’s steel tariffs mean to the Middle East Donald Trump’s proposed US steel tariffs will put Turkish producers most at risk in the Middle East, while Gulf steel exporters will be sheltered from the worst of the damage, experts have told AGBI. On Sunday Mr Trump, the newly elected US president, said he would soon unveil 25 percent import taxes on all steel […] February 11, 2025
Opinion Trade US trade bravado hides a cautious stance on China Presidents Trump and Xi are going through the motions February 6, 2025
Opinion Trade The Gulf has a tricky path to plot between China and the West It may be clichéd to call the Gulf a crossroads between north, south, east and west, but it is undeniably true February 5, 2025
Analysis Markets Trump’s tariffs inject volatility into metal markets President Donald Trump’s on-again, off-again tariffs have increased uncertainty for global metals and minerals markets. Demand for gold – a traditional safe haven – soared on Tuesday, with the price of international spot gold rising to $2,819.46 an ounce. The precious metal was trading still higher on Wednesday morning at $2,851.21 an ounce. This is despite […] February 5, 2025
Analysis Trade A 10% tariff on China – and a tricky calculation for the Gulf At one minute past midnight in Washington, the United States’ 10 percent tariff on Chinese imports came into effect. Beijing retaliated moments later, announcing even heavier levies on US goods from next week. Canada and Mexico were granted a temporary reprieve after talks on Monday, but there was no last-minute deal for President Donald Trump […] February 5, 2025
Analysis Trade Trump tariffs ‘pose long-term risk to Gulf’, say economists Short-term gains possible Uncertainty over oil prices High interest rates may persist Gulf economies could benefit in the short term from a tariff-led trade war between the US and some of its major partners, but they face longer-term ri... Register now: It’s easy and free This content is available for registered members only. Register for […] February 4, 2025
Opinion Tech US ambitions are a fork in the road for GCC crypto If Trump follows through on deregulation, the States could be a serious competitor to the Gulf February 4, 2025
Opinion Trade GCC should target tariff-free food deals with Trump US agriculture could be looking for new export markets February 4, 2025
Oil & Gas Trump’s tariffs will not move oil prices, says Goldman Sachs The new tariffs imposed by US President Donald Trump on imports from Canada, Mexico and China are likely to have a limited near-term impact on global oil and gas prices, Goldman Sachs said in a note on Sunday. “Potential tariff-driven decline in US natural gas imports from Canada is too small to significantly raise US […] February 3, 2025
Analysis Mining Tight supply and strong demand pressure silver prices Gulf investors – and romantics – may have to keep a watchful eye on silver in the months ahead as tight supply and strong demand make their impact on prices. This will not only have consequences for those looking for jewellery, but also for industries ranging from solar photovoltaics (PV) to electric vehicles (EVs), and […] February 3, 2025
Analysis Renewable Energy Trump’s climate agenda ‘may push UAE investors away from US’ Masdar and the UAE’s other renewable energy companies may need to rethink their US investments now that President Donald Trump has pulled the plug on new offshore wind projects, industry watchers have warned. “We’re not going to do the wind thing. Big, ugly windmills. They ruin your neighbourhood,” Trump said on his return to the […] February 2, 2025
Oil & Gas Opec+ to take joint stance on Trump oil policy The Opec+ group of leading oil producers is set to discuss President Donald Trump’s efforts to raise US oil production and take a joint stance on the matter, Kazakhstan said on Wednesday. Trump last week laid out a sweeping plan to help maximise oil and gas production, including by declaring a national energy emergency to speed up permitting […] January 30, 2025
Analysis Tax GCC weighs impact of Trump’s global corporate tax moves Tax professionals in the Gulf are assessing how President Donald Trump’s pull-back of US support for an international corporate tax framework might affect GCC states’ implementation of it. In a day-one executive order last week, the returning US president repudiated “any commitment” made by the previous Biden administration toward the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and […] January 30, 2025
Analysis Trade Turkey becomes a short-term investor haven from Trump Turkey is being seen as a relatively safe harbour among emerging markets by investors looking to shield their funds from aggressive US trade policies, although Ankara is not immune to Washington’s ire. There has been a recent move back into Turkish debt stock, with local bonds attracting $1.9 billion in foreign capital in the first […] January 29, 2025
Opinion Trade Trade policy will be central to Trump’s second term Many of the US president’s fresh executive orders will have substantial ramifications, including in the Gulf January 28, 2025
Opinion Artificial Intelligence DeepSeek sell-off gives Gulf investors plenty to think about The arrival of a Chinese AI chatbot has implications for geopolitics, markets and Mena wealth funds January 28, 2025
Opinion Oil & Gas Expect the unexpected with Trump and the Gulf Whatever the new administration decides, it is unlikely to happen quickly January 24, 2025