Oil & Gas Oil prices rise again ahead of Opec+ talks on Wednesday Crude oil prices consolidated on Monday, following a run of increases in the first quarter, fuelled by signs of recovery in China, tighter supplies by the Opec+ producers and geopolitical tensions. Brent was trading slightly higher at $87.28 a barrel in the morning, while West Texas Intermediate rose to $83.45. Brent has gained about 15 […] April 1, 2024
Trade US approves $2bn military order for Bahrain The US has approved a $2 billion order from Bahrain for advanced battle tanks and other military equipment as the kingdom continues to ramp up its defence spending. Although the deal is still to be ratified by Congress, the US State Department revealed it is ready to sell 50 M1A2 Abrams tanks to Bahrain, which […] March 22, 2024
Economy Saudi Arabia gives $800m in Ramadan social security aid Saudi Arabia has disbursed SAR3 billion ($800 million) to around 500,000 Saudis as a one-off social security payment during the fasting month of Ramadan. The amounts were deposited directly into bank accounts of beneficiaries of social security by the Ministry of Human Resources and Social Development, on the basis of SAR1,000 ($270) per head of […] March 18, 2024
Oil & Gas IEA predicts oil supply will turn to deficit in 2024 Global crude markets supplies will shift from surplus into deficit in 2024, the International Energy Agency (IEA) has predicted, implying higher hydrocarbon prices. The Paris-based watchdog raised its forecast for this year’s oil demand on Thursday on an improved outlook for the US economy and increased bunker fuel use, as attacks by the Houthis on […] March 15, 2024
Economy Saudi Arabia’s inflation up to 1.8% and ‘likely’ to keep rising Saudi Arabia’s annual inflation rate rose more than expected in February to 1.8 percent, driven by the housing market, as the country emerges from last year’s economic slowdown. “Actual rents for housing increased by 10 percent in February 2024, reflecting the increase in rents for villas by 9.1 percent,” the General Authority for Statistics said. […] March 14, 2024
Analysis Economy Volatility of crude markets masks Saudi non-oil momentum Volatility in global oil markets, which led to Saudi Arabia’s GDP shrinking last year, is masking the strength of the kingdom’s non-oil economy, analysts have said. Its non-oil revenue is forecast to rise by more than 5 percent in each of the next two years, according to Jadwa Investment. The 2023 contraction was driven by […] March 5, 2024
Infrastructure Egypt plans extension to make Suez Canal a ‘dual carriageway’ Egypt is to extend the “dual carriageway” segment of the Suez Canal, to allow northbound ships and southbound ships to travel the full length of the canal simultaneously. The canal’s first double-channel stretch opened in 2015. This extension will add 50km in the north and 30km in the south, the chairman of the Suez Canal […] March 5, 2024
Economy IMF expects bigger loan deal for Egypt within weeks The International Monetary Fund expects a financing package for Egypt to be finalised within weeks, its chief said on Tuesday – while also entertaining speculation that the loan could rise to $12 billion. Speaking on the sidelines of a G20 finance meeting in Brazil, IMF managing director Kristalina Georgieva told Reuters that issues delaying the […] February 28, 2024
Analysis Construction Localisation shields Saudi builders from Red Sea crisis Houthi attacks in the Red Sea may have been disrupting the construction supply chain into Saudi Arabia but companies, in particular larger ones, are adapting to the challenge. Since November, the Yemeni militia has launched dozens of attacks on commercial vessels on their way to or from the Suez Canal, forcing many global shippers to […] February 28, 2024
Logistics GCC companies safeguard stocks against Red Sea crisis Businesses in the GCC are adding up to three months to their supply chains as disruption in the Red Sea persists. Despite the increased costs, a survey of executives from the region revealed companies are maintaining “substantial extra inventory” in the face of the current geopolitical uncertainties. The fourth annual Trade in Transition study by […] February 28, 2024
Logistics Gulf turns to trucking to bypass Red Sea unrest The Gulf trucking industry is preparing for a surge in business as companies seek alternatives to shipping goods while Red Sea risks persist. Trukker, a UAE-based app that is touted as the Middle East’s Uber for land freight, told AGBI that enquiries from clients interested in using its truck booking and other freight forwarding services […] February 8, 2024
Economy OECD predicts modest growth but conflict risk remains Global growth is holding up and inflation is falling, but conflict in the Middle East represents a significant near-term risk, the Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) has said. In its interim outlook published on Monday, the Paris-based organisation projected that GDP expansion worldwide would remain moderate at around 3 percent in 2024-2025. Energy […] February 7, 2024
Trade AD Ports deal to transform Jordan’s Aqaba Abu Dhabi is to play a key role in transforming operations at Aqaba Port, Jordan’s primary trade hub. A joint venture company comprising a subsidiary of Abu Dhabi Ports Group and the Aqaba Development Corporation (ADC) aims to “revolutionise” the port by digitalising operations within a year. The UAE wants to build on bilateral trade […] February 6, 2024
Opinion Energy Hey Joe, your LNG plan could be downright dangerous Joe Biden's 'pause' on LNG exports seems to be about the election, not energy policy February 5, 2024
Economy Red Sea attacks dent Mena business activity The attacks on shipping in the Red Sea are depressing economies across the Middle East and North Africa, as supply chain disruption takes its toll on business activity. The latest economic monthly bulletins for the UAE, Saudi Arabia and Egypt all show a drop in operating activity for January. Houthi rebels in Yemen have been […] February 5, 2024
Logistics Air cargo demand rises after Red Sea shipping disruption Middle East airlines posted an 18.3 percent annual increase in air cargo demand in December, in line with strong global growth attributed to Red Sea disruption. Global demand for air cargo was up 10.8 percent compared with December 2022 – the strongest performance in two years, according to the International Air Transport Association (IATA). The […] February 4, 2024
Logistics Cost of Red Sea shipping insurance rises 2,700% The cost of insurance to protect ships against losses incurred from conflict has jumped more than twenty-fold since October, before Houthi rebels began firing on vessels passing through the Red Sea. In late November, the rebels in Yemen began attacking commercial ships in what they claim is a show of support for Palestinians in the […] February 1, 2024
Oil & Gas Business as usual at next Opec+ meeting say experts Opec+ is unlikely to make any drastic policy changes when it holds its ministerial panel on Thursday, according to industry experts. It is thought the organisation, which consists of the Saudi-led Opec bloc and the Russian-led non-Opec group with 10 participants, will probably focus on verifying members’ compliance with agreed output levels and their commitment […] January 30, 2024
Trade Red Sea crisis ‘will push up Middle East consumer prices’ Higher prices will be seen in Middle East shops if the crisis in the Red Sea continues for another two months, the research firm BMI has warned. In late November, Houthi rebels in Yemen began attacking commercial vessels travelling through the Red Sea in what they claim is a show of support for Palestinians in […] January 30, 2024
Economy Suez slump compounds Egypt’s foreign currency crisis Disruptions to shipping in the Suez Canal as a result of the conflict in the Red Sea are exacerbating Egypt’s foreign currency shortages and increasing the need for a new financing package from the International Monetary Fund. Royalties from traffic through the Suez Canal contribute nearly 8 percent of the Egyptian government’s revenue and generate […] January 26, 2024
Logistics Wheat shipments through Suez Canal down 40% Shipments of wheat through the Suez Canal have fallen by 40 percent year-on-year as a result of the continuing crisis in the Red Sea, the World Trade Organisation’s Wheat Dashboard shows. Major shippers are avoiding the waterway, through which 15 percent of maritime commerce passes, causing supply chain disruptions and threatening a new wave of […] January 24, 2024
Opinion Logistics Red Sea attacks could harm more than ports and shipping The Houthi strikes could have serious implications for Saudi Arabia and Egypt January 23, 2024
