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Donald Trump

The latest news, analysis and opinion on Donald Trump and his impact on Middle East business from AGBI

The US is likely to pump more oil under Donald Trump's presidency

Investors may shun Gulf as oil prices fall, BoA says

President Donald Trump’s “drill, baby, drill” push to increase US oil production and potentially drive lower prices could dampen investor appetite for Gulf Arab markets, according to the Bank of America. Saudi Arabia, the world’s second-largest oil producer, has been on a marketing blitz in the US this past week, hosting an investor conference in […]

Trump Saudi Yasir Al-Rumayyan

Trump hails Saudi Arabia at investment event in Miami

Donald Trump’s speech on the opening day of a Saudi-backed investor summit in Miami once again highlighted the close relationship the US president is nurturing with the world’s second-largest oil producer. Calling Saudi Arabia a “special place with special leaders”, Trump individually greeted Yasir Al-Rumayyan, governor of the state-owned Public Investment Fund (PIF), and Mohammed […]

Gulf Trump tariffs, US GCC trade, US GCC tariffs, US Gulf trade, US Gulf tariffs

Gulf likely to escape Trump tariffs, analysts say

Saudi Arabia, the UAE and the other Gulf Arab states are likely to escape US President Donald Trump’s tariff ire, analysts say. This is because the world’s largest economy by and large runs a trade surplus with them, their value added tax (VAT) is relatively low and they peg their currencies to the US dollar. […]

Gold is moulded into bars at a refiner in Switzerland. An orders backlog means US banks are widening their search for kilobars

US banks buy Dubai gold to counter potential tariffs

Dubai is among several global gold centres benefiting from fears among US banks that President Donald Trump might impose duties on the precious metal, analysts say. A backlog at refining facilities in Switzerland has added to US banks’ concerns about the availability of bullion. “There is now a real concern about the tariffs being imposed […]

US President Donald Trump and Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman discussing mutual trade, during Trump's first term

$600bn Saudi-US trade pledge ‘unlikely to be achieved’

Saudi Arabia’s pledge to increase trade and investment with the US to at least $600 billion over President Trump’s four-year term is “very optimistic” and “unlikely to be achieved,” according to a Washington-based think tank. Instead the kingdom is prioritising domestic projects and faces lower oil revenue. The commitment was made by Crown Prince Mohammed […]

Trump steel tariff

What Trump’s steel tariffs mean to the Middle East

Donald Trump’s proposed US steel tariffs will put Turkish producers most at risk in the Middle East, while Gulf steel exporters will be sheltered from the worst of the damage, experts have told AGBI. On Sunday Mr Trump, the newly elected US president, said he would soon unveil 25 percent import taxes on all steel […]

Men look at jewellery in the gold souk, Dubai. An unprecedented amount of gold has been sent from Dubai and other markets to New York in recent days in response to tariffs

Trump’s tariffs inject volatility into metal markets

President Donald Trump’s on-again, off-again tariffs have increased uncertainty for global metals and minerals markets.  Demand for gold – a traditional safe haven – soared on Tuesday, with the price of international spot gold rising to $2,819.46 an ounce. The precious metal was trading still higher on Wednesday morning at $2,851.21 an ounce. This is despite […]

US President Donald Trump with China's President Xi Jinping at a G20 conference: both countries are vying for Gulf trade

A 10% tariff on China – and a tricky calculation for the Gulf

At one minute past midnight in Washington, the United States’ 10 percent tariff on Chinese imports came into effect. Beijing retaliated moments later, announcing even heavier levies on US goods from next week. Canada and Mexico were granted a temporary reprieve after talks on Monday, but there was no last-minute deal for President Donald Trump […]

Trump tariffs ‘pose long-term risk to Gulf’, say economists

Gulf economies could benefit in the short term from a tariff-led trade war between the US and some of its major partners, but they face longer-term risks of lower oil prices, tariffs on their own non-oil exports and high interest rates, analysts have warned. Although President Donald Trump delayed tariffs on Canada and Mexico at […]

Indoors, Interior Design, Wood The logo for Goldman Sachs on the trading floor at the New York Stock Exchange. The investment bank kept its 2025-26 oil price forecasts unchanged

Trump’s tariffs will not move oil prices, says Goldman Sachs

The new tariffs imposed by US President Donald Trump on imports from Canada, Mexico and China are likely to have a limited near-term impact on global oil and gas prices, Goldman Sachs said in a note on Sunday. “Potential tariff-driven decline in US natural gas imports from Canada is too small to significantly raise US […]

Jewellery makers will feel the impact of rising silver prices, as will industries including solar photovoltaics and electric vehicles

Tight supply and strong demand pressure silver prices

Gulf investors – and romantics – may have to keep a watchful eye on silver in the months ahead as tight supply and strong demand make their impact on prices. This will not only have consequences for those looking for jewellery, but also for industries ranging from solar photovoltaics (PV) to electric vehicles (EVs), and […]