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Economy

Economy and markets news from the Middle East. All the important stories, exclusive interviews, plus authoritative opinion and analysis

Singapore’s non-oil exports fall for 11th straight month  

Singapore’s annual exports fell for an 11th straight month in August as the trade-reliant economy continues to grapple with global headwinds on inflation and declining demand. Singapore’s non-oil domestic exports fell 20.1 percent year on year in August, official data showed on Monday, as both electronics and non-electronics exports to the US, Europe and China […]

The stable outlook balances S&P expectations that the reform agenda will continue to underpin the development of Saudi Arabia's non-oil sector

S&P retains Saudi credit ratings on sustained reforms

Standard & Poor’s (S&P) has affirmed the credit rating of Saudi Arabia’s domestic and foreign currency at “A/A-1” with a stable outlook, underpinned by the government’s sustained reform momentum in recent years.  The reforms include measures to foster non-oil economic growth, supported by sovereign wealth fund-led non-oil investments. A widening of the non-oil tax base […]

As part of a $3bn financial support agreement, the IMF urged Egypt to level the playing field between the private and public sectors

Lebanon needs deep reforms on unstable outlook says IMF

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has welcomed new policies enacted by Lebanon’s central bank, but said deep reforms were still necessary as the crisis-stricken country’s “outlook remains difficult and unstable”. Lebanon’s nearly four-year economic meltdown has cost the local currency roughly 98 percent of its value and impoverished thousands, but authorities have been slow to […]

Electrical Device, Microphone, People

Erdogan says Turkey could ‘part ways’ with EU  

Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan said on Saturday that Ankara could “part ways” with the European Union (EU) if necessary when asked about the contents of a European Parliament report on Turkey. The report, adopted earlier this week, said Turkey’s accession process with the 27-member bloc cannot resume under current circumstances and called for the EU […]

Egypt's President Abdel Fattah El Sisi will not want to devalue the pound

Egypt urged to devalue pound to progress IMF talks

Financial analysts have called on Egypt to devalue the country’s pound to ensure progress in negotiations with the International Monetary Fund and stabilise the economy. In a call on Wednesday, Capital Economics’ Middle East and North Africa economist, James Swanston, said that a further devaluation is “simply needed”, suggesting that the Central Bank of Egypt […]

Turkey economy World bank

World Bank says Turkey’s economy on the right path

The World Bank’s Turkey director said on Thursday that the economy was heading in the right direction but there was more to do, a week after the bank said it would double its exposure to Turkey to $35 billion over three years. In an interview with Reuters, Humberto Lopez said that of the additional $18 […]

The Abraham Accords signing on September 15, 2022 Video length: 06:36

Abraham Accords – 3 years on, $3 billion in trade

An Israeli politician has described how the Abraham Accords, signed three years ago today, have “opened a floodgate to, hopefully, a new Middle East”. Fleur Hassan-Nahoum, deputy mayor of Jerusalem, tells AGBI in an exclusive video interview that the agreement signed at the White House on September 15 2020, is transforming Israel’s relations with the […]

Man in supermarket considering food prices

Saudi inflation continues downward trend to hit 2%

Saudi Arabia’s annual inflation eased to 2 percent in August from 2.3 percent the previous month, continuing a downward trend since a high of 3.4 percent in January.  The main driver of inflation during August was housing and an increase in rents of 10.8 percent, including 22.5 percent for apartments, the General Authority for Statistics […]

A man counts Lebanese pound banknotes at an exchange shop in Beirut

Lebanon passes 2024 budget but debate rages on taxes and ‘dollarisation’

Lebanon’s caretaker cabinet passed a draft budget for 2024 on Tuesday with a focus on raising tax revenue and a move towards collecting fees and taxes in dollars. It was the first time since 2002 that a budget was approved within the constitutionally delineated time period of 31 October, which caretaker prime minister Najib Mikati […]

People stuck on a road after a powerful storm and heavy rainfall hit Shahhat city in Libya

Floods wipe out quarter of Libyan city as death toll passes 5,000

Thousands of people were killed and at least 10,000 were missing in Libya in floods caused by a huge Mediterranean storm that burst dams, swept away buildings and wiped out as much as a quarter of the eastern coastal city of Derna. A senior medic in Derna told Reuters that more than 2,000 people were dead, while […]

Goldman Sachs ups Turkey’s deficit forecast to $43bn

Goldman Sachs raised its forecast on Tuesday for Turkey’s 2023 current account deficit to $43 billion from a previous $38 billion, after it said it “deteriorated sharply” in July. “(I)ncorporating higher oil prices, we now expect Turkey’s current account deficit to reach $43 billion (previously $38 billion) for 2023 as a whole,” the Wall Street […]

Egypt is seeking new external financing of between $1.5 and $2 billion, finance minister Mohamed Maait said

Egypt’s forex reserves rise for 12 consecutive months

Egypt’s foreign reserves rose to $34.92 billion in August 2023, recording an increase for 12 consecutive months. The reserves recorded a 5.4 percent increase year on year last month, Egypt Today newspaper reported, citing statistics from the central bank. The reserves stood at $34.87 billion in July, comprising the US dollar, Euro, Australian dollar, Japanese […]

Families at Dubai Mall. The PMI figures on discounts come despite the Summer Surprises shopping festival held in August

Dubai businesses ease up on discounting as costs climb

Dubai’s appetite for discounting waned in August as more companies opted to pass on increased costs to customers, a survey of non-oil businesses has found. The S&P Global Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for August found that the impact of rising input costs on margins made companies “less inclined to offer discounts on their products and […]

Morocco survivors seek aid as earthquake toll passes 2,100

Survivors of Morocco’s deadliest earthquake in more than six decades struggled to find food, water and shelter on Sunday as the search for the missing continued in remote villages and the death toll of more than 2,100 seemed likely to rise further. Many people were spending a third night in the open after the 6.8 […]

Tunisia

Egypt’s inflation hits 37.4% on rising food prices

Egypt’s annual urban consumer price inflation rate surged to a higher-than-expected record 37.4 percent in August from 36.5 percent in July, data from the country’s statistics agency Capmas showed on Sunday. Headline inflation in July was 36.5 percent and in June 35.7 percent, both also all-time highs. High money supply growth over the last two […]

Morocco earthquake kills more than 2,000

Moroccan earthquake survivors huddled for a night in the open on the High Atlas Mountains on Saturday, a day after the country’s deadliest quake in more than six decades killed more than 2,000 people and laid waste to villages. Neighbours were still searching for survivors buried on the slopes, where houses of mud brick, stone […]

Istanbul Turkish tourism

Fitch upgrades Turkey’s outlook to ‘stable’  

Global ratings agency Fitch on Friday upgraded Turkey’s foreign currency outlook to “stable” and affirmed its rating at “B,” saying its change in economic policy could reduce financial instability in the near term. Turkey has been struggling with inflation for a while and is now at the heels of a policy U-turn after President Tayyip […]

GCC Japan free trade

GCC and Japan resume free trade deal talks  

The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries have restarted talks on a free trade pact with Japan, an Omani minister has confirmed. “We announced today the resumption of talks on the signing and reaching an agreement to free trade between Japan and the GCC countries,” Oman’s foreign minister Sayyid Badr Albusaidi told a press conference this […]

Monetary and fiscal tightening will help support disinflation, said Turkish finance minister Mehmet Şimşek

Turkish minister plans to meet Middle East investors

Turkey’s finance minister Mehmet Simsek said on Thursday that he planned investor meetings in Germany, financial hubs New York and London, and cities in Asia and the Middle East. Turkey’s economic programme had President Tayyip Erdogan’s full support, a day after the government hiked its forecasts for inflation and cut its economic growth outlook, he […]

Turkey credit rating

Turkey’s shift policies ‘clearly’ positive for credit rating

Moody’s has signalled that Turkey’s re-embrace of conventional economic policymaking since Tayyip Erdoğan’s May election win could soon start paying dividends in terms of a stronger credit rating, as long as it sticks with it. Ankara’s credit score, which affects how much the government pays to borrow on capital markets, has been in decline for […]

Tunisian President Kais Saied meets with Saudi minister of finance Mohammed al Jadaan.

Tunisia teeters on the edge over mounting debt

Saddled with mounting levels of debt and dwindling foreign reserves, Tunisia is intensifying concerns over its deteriorating public finances. Bailout talks with the International Monetary Fund have stalled since last October when a preliminary agreement for a 48-month loan worth close to $2 billion was reached. Tunisian president Kais Saied’s government refused to accept the […]

A currency exchange in Riyadh. Non-oil GDP growth is forecast at 4.9% this year and 4.4% in 2024

Saudi GDP grows 1.2% in second quarter

Saudi Arabia’s GDP grew 1.2 percent year-on-year in the second quarter of this year, while oil activities decreased by 4.3 percent, the government said on August 7.  Saudi Arabia’s oil production cuts are set to continue to the end of the year. The kingdom’s GDP at current prices was valued at 970 billion Saudi riyals […]