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Economy

Economy and markets news from the Middle East. All the important stories, exclusive interviews, plus authoritative opinion and analysis

S&P upgrades Oman’s credit rating on lower debt risk

S&P Global Ratings has upgraded Oman’s credit ratings on the back of a continued positive outlook for the oil sector and fiscal and economic reforms momentum over 2023-2026. The ratings agency raised its long-term foreign and local currency sovereign credit ratings on Oman to “BB+” from “BB”. It also affirmed the sultanate’s short-term ratings at […]

Turkey interest rates

S&P revises Turkey outlook to ‘stable’ on policy shift

S&P Global Ratings on Friday revised its outlook on Turkey to “stable” from “negative,” citing policy shifts by the country, and affirmed its rating at “B”. Turkey’s new economic team is “enacting measures aimed at cooling the overheated economy and stabilising the exchange rate without undermining financial and fiscal stability”, the ratings agency said in […]

Morocco economy

Morocco’s economy forecast to grow 3%

Morocco’s economy is forecast to grow by 3.1 percent this year, boosted by an improved harvest and increased tourist numbers, according to the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development. However, the estimate does not take into account the earthquake that struck at the start of this month in the High Atlas Mountains near Marrakech, which […]

Cyprus’s cabinet prepares surplus-yielding budget

Cyprus’s cabinet approved its 2024 draft budgetary plan on Wednesday which is expected to yield a surplus of 2.2 percent of national output, authorities said. Growth was expected to reach 2.9 percent, Cypriot President Nikos Christodoulides said. The budget, which requires parliamentary approval, is the first prepared by Christodoulides’s centrist administration after winning presidential elections […]

People, Person, Crowd

European bank ups Turkey’s GDP growth to 3.5% in 2023

The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) has raised its 2023 GDP growth forecast for Turkey to 3.5 percent, up from a previous estimation of 2.5 percent. The upward revision is driven by the fiscal stimulus in the run-up to the May elections and the shift in the economic policymaking post-election, according to the […]

Dubai public debt to fall by $8bn by end of 2023

Dubai’s public debt will drop by AED29 billion ($7.90 billion) by the end of the year, the emirate’s Public Debt Management Office (PDMO) said. The debt reduction includes a full redemption of sukuk worth AED3.3 billion, the repayment of bilateral and syndicated facilities worth AED5.2 billion and a partial settlement of AED20 billion from the […]

The new EBRD HQ in Canary Wharf, London. EBRD funding of $37m for Morocco will be distributed in two tranches

Moroccan pharma company gets $37m European funding

The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) is to provide MAD380 million ($37.1 million) in funding to support Morocco’s pharmaceutical private sector. The loan will be given to Dislog Group, a distributor of consumer goods covering more than 70,000 retailers across the country, which is owned by Moroccan conglomerate H&S Holding. Founded in 2005, […]

Hewlett Packard Enterprise has opened a Saudi headquarters

More companies set up Saudi HQs as deadline nears

Saudi Arabia has had limited success so far in its plan to tempt major companies to open regional headquarters in the kingdom, but more are obliging as the deadline to do so draws nearer. Among the companies relocating their main offices – or at least creating a presence in the kingdom – are international names […]

A dhow sailing in Musandam, Oman. S&P says its ratings could be raised over the next 18 months if Oman’s fiscal position strengthens

Fitch raises Oman’s credit rating on lower external debt

Fitch Ratings has upgraded Oman’s credit rating to BB+ from BB with a stable outlook as lower external debt has reduced liquidity risks. The upgrade reflects the use of high oil revenues to pay down debt and spread its maturity, spending restraint reducing external risks, and an increase in oil price forecast, the ratings agency […]

Oil production in Oman rose very slightly in Q2, but prices and oil-related activity fell

Oman GDP falls after slowdown in oil activities

Oman’s GDP recorded a fall of 9.5 percent in the second quarter of this year, largely as a result of a slowdown in oil-related activities. The sultanate’s GDP was OMR10.1 billion ($26.24 billion) in the second quarter, compared with OMR11.1 billion for the same period last year, according to the National Center for Statistics and […]

Logo, Person, Man

Egypt says IMF to merge two reviews of reform program

Egypt said it had agreed with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) to merge the fund’s first and second reviews of its economic reform programme, after the first review was repeatedly delayed amid questions over Egypt’s progress in meeting the IMF’s terms. The IMF in December approved a $3 billion extended fund facility loan for Egypt, […]

Egypt's President Abdel Fattah Al-Sisi is thought to be delaying devaluing the pound until after the next election, which could take place this year

Egypt’s economic outlook darkens as IMF postpones review

Egypt’s efforts to revive its economy were dealt a major setback this week after the IMF postponed its eagerly awaited September review of Egypt’s $3 billion bailout programme until the first quarter of 2024.  Originally scheduled to take place in March, it would have been the IMF’s first review of the $3 billion loan it […]

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman's number one priority is funding the kingdom's Vision 2030 giga-projects

Saudi economy slips as government pushes oil cuts

Analysts see the Saudi economy contracting in 2023 as a result of voluntary oil production cuts.  Higher prices, however, will still ensure that state coffers are full enough to meet the kingdom’s number one priority – funding its mammoth Vision 2030 diversification projects.  The International Monetary Fund said this month it saw a slowdown in […]

Egypt interest rates

Egypt’s central bank keeps key interest rates steady

Egypt’s central bank, as widely expected, left its key overnight interest rates unchanged on Thursday, saying both economic growth and core inflation were slowing. The bank kept its lending rate at 20.25 percent and its deposit rate at 19.25 percent. The median forecast in a poll of 17 analysts had been for the bank’s monetary […]

Shoppers at a supermarket in Sanaa, Yemen. In the UAE, inflation in the cost of staples such as flour is slowing

Turkey hikes rates to 30% to strengthen hawkish turn

Turkey’s central bank raised its key interest rate by a lofty 500 basis points to 30 percent on Thursday, marking a second month of aggressive tightening after President Tayyip Erdogan set aside his long opposition to tight policy. The bank reiterated it is ready to raise rates further as needed to rein in inflation that […]

The Fed has announced 11 rate hikes since March 2022, but decided to hold its benchmark rate steady

Fed interest rate pause will help GCC non-oil sector

The decision by the US Federal Reserve to leave policy rates unchanged will have a positive impact on the non-oil sectors of Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) countries, according to leading economists. The Fed has announced 11 rate hikes since March 2022, but on Wednesday decided to hold its benchmark rate steady, albeit at a 22-year […]

oil $100 oil price

$100 a barrel oil raises global inflation fears

Oil has risen to its highest level since November, reigniting fears over inflationary pressures on the global economy as it approaches $100 a barrel. Brent crude hit $95 barrel this week, before reducing gains, as the extension of Opec+ supply cuts tightened the markets. In a sign of a massive uptick in the energy markets, […]

“Climate change is already dramatically affecting us,” says IMF head Kristalina Georgieva

IMF lends Morocco $1.3bn to fight climate change

The International Monetary Fund is to lend Morocco $1.3 billion to help the country guard against climate-related risks. The staff-level agreement was confirmed by Kristalina Georgieva, managing director of the IMF, who said the funding would be used to build resilience against future climate disasters. “Climate change is already dramatically affecting us,” Georgieva said in […]

Children displaced by the earthquake look on as workers build a playground for them at the Regraga camp

Morocco’s GDP forecast downgraded after quake

Analysts have downgraded growth forecasts for Morocco in the wake of the deadly earthquake on September 8. More than 3,000 people were killed and many more are still missing. Homes and infrastructure in the Al Haouz province, southwest of the High Atlas mountains, were severely damaged. The disaster has prompted analysts at BMI, formerly Fitch […]

A woman shops at a fruit and vegetable market in Tunis. In June Tunisia was given a rating of CCC-, which is seven levels below investment grade

Tunisia repays 74% of debt to ease default fears

Tunisia has repaid 74 percent of its cumulative external debt due this year, defying predictions that the country is heading towards a default. As of September 10, the amount of debt repaid was TND6.6 billion ($2 billion), compared with TND8.9 billion forecast for the year in the 2023 budget, as reported by Agence Tunis Afrique […]

Despite the increase in revenues, the UAE has maintained a cautious and rational spending policy, said UAE finance minister Sheikh Maktoum bin Mohammed

UAE reports fiscal surplus in 2022 as revenue rises 32%

The UAE’s revenues rose 31.8 percent in 2022, supporting an overall fiscal surplus last year, according to the country’s finance minister. Spending increased by 6.1 percent in 2022 year-on-year to stand at about AED427 billion ($116 billion), state-run Wam news agency said, citing finance minister Sheikh Maktoum bin Mohammed bin Rashid Al Maktoum. “Despite the […]