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Economy

Economy and markets news from the Middle East. All the important stories, exclusive interviews, plus authoritative opinion and analysis

A worker at a foundry in Istanbul. Turkey's manufacturers reported drops in both domestic and foreign orders in the May 2024 PMI

Slump in orders and exports cools Turkish PMI sentiment

Turkish manufacturers are finding their operational environment increasingly difficult, a new survey has revealed. Tighter economic conditions led expectations to fall in May, although some relief came from the slight easing of inflationary pressures. The monthly Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) survey, conducted by the Istanbul Chamber of Commerce and S&P Global, fell further into negative […]

A young man delivers bread in Cairo, Egypt; the price of subsidised bread will rise for the first time in 30 years

Egypt’s rising bread price sparks austerity fears

Egypt’s plan to hike the price of subsidised bread for the first time in 30 years has increased talk of an austerity budget for the coming fiscal year, amid rumours of price increases for medicine and electricity and the phasing out of fuel subsidies.  The International Monetary Fund, which is currently preparing a third review […]

Mohamed Hadi Al Hussaini, UAE minister of state for financial affairs, and Qatari finance minister Ahmed Al Kuwari sign the tax agreement

UAE and Qatar in deal to avoid double taxation 

The UAE and Qatar have signed an agreement to prevent double taxation and curb fiscal evasion of income taxes. The agreement will enhance financial, economic, and investment partnerships between the two nations, UAE minister of state for financial affairs Mohamed Al Hussaini said. The move will bolster coordination and cooperation in tax matters, open up […]

Saudi giga-project Neom recently hosted representatives from 52 financial institutions to showcase investment opportunities and 'explore potential strategic partnerships'

Saudi review says 87% of Vision 2030 projects ‘on right track’

Saudi Arabia’s top economic body discussed the progress of the kingdom’s Vision 2030 plan this week, citing a recent government report that 87 percent of its projects are “on the right track”. The Council of Economic and Development Affairs, which is headed by Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, convened on May 28 in a meeting […]

Tourists in Essaouira, Morocco. AfDB's strategy aims to strengthen Morocco’s economic competitiveness

AfDB launches $13bn plan to support Moroccan economy 

The African Development Bank (AfDB) has launched its €12 billion ($13 billion) five-year strategic roadmap to support Morocco’s economic growth. The new strategy aligns with the country’s new development model until 2035 and will strengthen Morocco’s economic competitiveness and resilience, sustainable growth, and consolidating economic and social inclusion dynamics, the bank said. “This new strategy […]

A seller at a souq in Oman. The country has been given a stable outlook, thanks to the positive impact of budget reforms and falling debt

Oman to use budget surplus to repay nearly $3bn debt

Oman is expected to repay nearly $3 billion in external debt in the first half of 2024, driven by the budget surplus from high oil prices, Fitch Ratings said in a new report. The resulting 10 percent decline in external debt from the end of 2023 is faster than forecast last September. The rating agency affirmed the Gulf state’s […]

A trader looks at the screens at Bahrain Bourse in Manama, Bahrain, February 7, 2018. REUTERS/Hamad I Mohammed

Bahrain tops dividend yields in mixed quarter for bourses

First-quarter company earnings in the UAE, Bahrain and Oman were mixed across major economic sectors, with the four bourses trading at markedly varied valuations. As of March 31, Dubai and Bahrain had price-to-earnings ratios of 8.3 and 7.9 respectively, while Abu Dhabi’s was 19.9 and Oman’s 12.9, according to Kuwait’s Kamco Invest. Bahrain (7.7 percent) […]

A market in Cairo. The meeting of the central bank’s MPC was its first since Egypt secured $8 billion in financial support from the IMF in March

Egypt holds interest rate hike despite slowdown

The Central Bank of Egypt has kept its key interest rates unchanged despite a slowdown in economic growth. The monetary policy committee (MPC) left the lending rate unchanged at 28.25 percent and the deposit rate at 27.25 percent. Inflation has eased since the annual headline and core inflation peaked at 38 percent in September 2023 […]

Pakistan’s prime minister Muhammad Shehbaz Sharif meets UAE president Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan in Abu Dhabi

UAE commits to invest $10bn in Pakistan’s economy

The UAE intends to invest $10 billion in various economic sectors in Pakistan. “UAE president Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan assured the Emirates’ support in all circumstances and made a commitment of investing $10 billion in multiple sectors,” Pakistan’s prime minister’s office said in a statement. The statement was released after the UAE president […]

Turkey's finance minister Mehmet Simsek says he has faith in the country's measures to curb inflation

Turkey tightens monetary policy but holds rate steady

Turkey will continue to maintain a tight monetary stance until a “significant and sustained” decline in monthly inflation is seen, the country’s central bank said. The bank’s monetary policy committee kept the key policy rate steady at 50 percent, adding it remains “highly attentive to inflation risks”.  The central bank raised interest rates by 500 […]

An orange vendor in Cairo. The country will export 2 million tonnes of oranges this year

Egyptian agricultural exports hit record levels

Egypt exported a record 7.5 million tonnes of agricultural produce last year, compared with 6.4 million tonnes in 2022 and 5.6 million in 2021. The total value of agricultural exports in 2023 was $8.8 billion, according to minister of agriculture and land reclamation Al Sayed Al Quseir. Egypt’s total number of export partners has increased […]

Flag, Outdoors, Water The emirate's mega tourism projects offer promising opportunities for investors and are a catalyst to attract new investment

Mega-projects aid in upgrade of Ras Al Khaimah’s rating

Fitch has upgraded Ras Al Khaimah’s credit rating from A to A+ thanks to the launch of a number of large investment projects. The emirate’s mega tourism projects, including hotels, beach resorts and high-end leisure facilities, offer promising opportunities for investors and are a catalyst to attract new investment, the rating agency added. Fitch forecasts […]

The number of ships traversing the Suez Canal has almost halved and Egypt expects a substantial revenue fall

Red Sea crisis could drop Suez Canal revenue by 60%

Suez Canal revenues may decrease by up to 60 percent due to elevated tensions in the Red Sea, according to assessments cited by Egyptian finance minister Mohamed Maait. Speaking at a ministerial event at Cairo University on Monday, Maait said the revenue fall would further exacerbate the state’s budget deficit which has grown to EGP120 […]

People on the Ain Dubai ferris wheel on Bluewaters Island admire the view of Palm Jumeirah. Both locations were popular with Russian property buyers

From buyers to sellers: Russians cool on Dubai real estate

Russian property owners in Dubai are cashing in and moving to alternative foreign enclaves, pushed out by currency issues and the rising cost of living in the emirate. Emigrants from Russia flocked to Dubai in 2022 at the start of the country’s war with Ukraine. The UAE, although condemning the invasion, proved a safe haven […]

Man looks out at Doha's skyline. Qatar's debt as a percentage of GDP is expected to be just over 37% in 2024

Qatar to use $549m budget surplus to reduce debt

Qatar recorded a budget surplus of QAR2 billion ($549 million) in the first quarter of 2024, its finance ministry has announced. The ministry said the surplus would be used to reduce public debt, according to the state-run Qatar News Agency. Total revenue was QAR53.4 billion ($14.7 billion) in Q1, down 22 percent year on year. […]

Sharjah airport. S&P says the emirate's fiscal deficits are expected to narrow gradually over 2024-2027

Private sector to propel Sharjah’s economic growth

Global ratings agency S&P has affirmed Sharjah’s rating at “BBB-/A-3” and maintained a stable outlook, citing strong private-sector activity as a key driver of economic growth. The emirate, one of seven that makes up the UAE, is expected to average 2.8 percent growth between 2024 and 2027, supported by manufacturing, construction, transport, and trade sectors.  […]

Mineral products contributed the highest value at OMR839 million among Oman's non-oil commodity exports, a 143 percent surge year on year

Oman’s trade surplus rises 21% on higher crude exports

Oman’s trade surplus rose 21 percent year on year to OMR1.7 billion ($4.4 billion) by the end of February 2024, according to government data. The total value of merchandise exports reached OMR4.4 billion during the period, a 20 percent increase, compared to OMR3.7 billion a year ago, state-run Oman News Agency reported, citing statistics from the […]

Tunisia olives

Soaring olive oil exports help Tunisia balance books

Tunisia’s soaring olive oil exports have almost doubled to close to $1 billion in just five months, helping it claw back its current account deficit.   However the increased revenues merely “paint over the cracks” and the country is still probably heading towards a sovereign default, according to an economic expert. Tunisia’s current account deficit narrowed […]

Iraqi prime minister Mohammed Shia Al-Sudani attends licensing rounds for 29 oil and gas exploration blocks at the oil ministry's headquarters in Baghdad

Falling oil prices deepen Iraq’s fiscal imbalances, says IMF

Iraq’s fiscal imbalances have worsened due to significant fiscal expansion and lower oil prices, according to the International Monetary Fund (IMF). “The ongoing fiscal expansion is expected to boost growth in 2024 at the expense of a further deterioration of fiscal and external accounts and Iraq’s vulnerability to oil price fluctuations,” the Washington-based fund said in […]

Investment talks. Dubai reported 1,650 FDI projects in 2023

Dubai tops ‘greenfield’ FDI ranking for third year

Dubai is the world’s top location for “greenfield” foreign direct investment for the third consecutive year, according to fDi Markets. A total of 1,070 greenfield FDI projects, where a company sets up in a foreign country, building its facilities from the ground up, were reported in Dubai in 2023. This was more than double the […]

Turkey's economic growth is projected at 3 percent in 2025

EBRD lowers Turkey’s 2024 growth rate

The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development (EBRD) has lowered Turkey’s economic growth forecast to 2.7 percent from 3 percent for 2024, due to rising inflation. However, a recovery is anticipated next year, with growth projected at 3 percent, driven by potential monetary and fiscal policy tightening aimed at curbing high inflation. Turkish economic policy has tightened, […]