Economy IMF urges Egypt to accelerate sale of state assets The International Monetary Fund has urged Egypt to move faster in selling off state assets to spur growth and reduce debt. The country’s economic growth is forecast to increase from 2.4 percent in fiscal year 2024 to 4.3 percent in fiscal year 2026, according to Jihad Azour, director of the IMF’s Middle East and Central […] April 29, 2025
Construction Egyptian minister touts Ras El Hekma as blueprint for global deals Egypt’s Ras El Hekma deal with the United Arab Emirates shows how creditor and debtor countries around the world can work together for mutual benefit, the Egyptian minister of planning has said. It may also lead to similar agreements with other Gulf nations, according to Rania Al Mashat. “What Ras El Hekma has done is […] April 28, 2025
Artificial Intelligence Abu Dhabi AI chief bullish over future investment Investment in artificial intelligence is at “a crossroads” as the build-out of underlying infrastructure, such as data centres, demands trillions of dollars more in capital, according to Abu Dhabi’s technology fund MGX. Ali Osman, MGX’s chief investment officer for AI, said on Friday that he remains optimistic about “tremendous” growth in this space even amid […] April 25, 2025
Trade US-driven trade war forces Mubadala to change ‘assumptions’ Abu Dhabi sovereign wealth fund Mubadala Investment Company said it will take more time to consider its investments and is changing its “base case assumptions” against the backdrop of heightened global trade tensions driven by the US. The fund, which has more than $300 billion of assets under management in over 50 countries around the […] April 25, 2025
Economy IMF praises GCC economic diversification efforts Senior International Monetary Fund officials commended Gulf states this week for their efforts to expand sources of economic growth and fiscal revenue beyond oil. They also urged more intra-GCC trade, as global commerce is roiled by steep and volatile US tariffs. “I have a lot of praise to offer because they have been pursuing reforms […] April 25, 2025
Economy Saudi Arabia’s debt burden ‘to rise more quickly’, says IMF The International Monetary Fund has revised its forecast for Saudi Arabia’s debt burden as tumbling oil prices dent the country’s revenues. The IMF is now projecting that Saudi government gross debt will be 44.5 percent of GDP by 2029, according to the twice-yearly Fiscal Monitor released in Washington DC on Wednesday. In last October’s report, […] April 23, 2025
Economy Turkey worried that cheap Asian goods will hurt economy Turkey is concerned that an enduring trade war between the US and China and other Asian countries may encourage manufacturers to flood Turkey’s market with cut-price goods to make up for US losses, the finance minister has said. That could damage Turkey’s own manufacturing base, already struggling with high and rising borrowing costs and domestic […] April 23, 2025
Trade Donald Trump will visit Gulf nations in May US President Donald Trump will visit Saudi Arabia, Qatar and the United Arab Emirates from May 13 to 16, the White House has confirmed. The highly anticipated visit to the Gulf region will mark Trump’s second foreign trip of his second term, as he will first travel to Rome this week for Pope Francis’ funeral. […] April 23, 2025
Economy IMF cuts Saudi GDP forecast as trade turbulence continues The International Monetary Fund has lowered its economic growth forecast for Saudi Arabia in response to escalating trade tensions and falling oil prices. The IMF’s latest World Economic Outlook, released this week, predicts that Saudi Arabia’s GDP will grow by 3 percent this year, down from its previous forecast of 3.3 percent. It now expects […] April 22, 2025
Analysis Trade US-China trade war brings pros and cons for the Gulf The growing trade war between the US and China, the world’s two largest economies, presents the Gulf Arab states with a complex puzzle. International commerce may shift towards new consumer and trans-shipment markets, while a recession-driven collapse in oil prices and higher-for-longer inflation because of tariffs are further risks to the region. Sectors of the […] April 12, 2025
Trade EU and UAE to start talks on comprehensive trade deal The UAE and the European Union are to start negotiations towards a wide-ranging free trade agreement, officials for both sides said. “The UAE shares strong and longstanding ties with the European Union and its member states,” Sheikh Mohamed bin Zayed Al Nahyan, the UAE’s president, said on X. Through a comprehensive economic partnership agreement, or […] April 11, 2025
Oil & Gas Oil prices retreat despite Trump’s pause on tariffs Oil prices fell on Thursday, despite early gains late on Wednesday following the announcement by Donald Trump that he would delay implementation of individual new tariffs on 75 countries for 90 days. US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude initially rose 4.88 percent to $62.49 a barrel following the announcement but in early trading on Thursday […] April 10, 2025
Energy Gulf partners will have many questions for US energy secretary US energy secretary Chris Wright arrives in the Gulf today at an especially turbulent time in the global economy and as oil prices plunge to more than four-year lows. Wright’s two-week visit to Saudi Arabia – the world’s second-largest oil producer – the UAE and Qatar may be in preparation for Donald Trump’s own trip […] April 9, 2025
Analysis Trade US levies render Middle East trade deals worthless, say analysts US president Donald Trump’s global tariff policy has bulldozed through dozens of free-trade agreements, including a handful in the Middle East. The impact on the rules of international commerce could be severe, according to industry watchers. “To take such an abrupt and quick decision from one side, where you have more than 20 years of […] April 8, 2025
Analysis Tech Gulf urged to add more to its data centre offerings Data centres are big business across the Gulf. But experts say the industry faces some major challenges: developing value-added goods and services, increasing research and development funding and identifying the right energy mix to power them. Sales in the GCC data centre market were worth nearly $3.5 billion last year, according to estimates by Research […] April 6, 2025
Trade Middle East fails to escape Trump’s tariffs US President Donald Trump unveiled far-reaching new tariffs on Wednesday, including on the United Arab Emirates, Saudi Arabia and other countries in the Middle East. Speaking from the Rose Garden of the White House, the president outlined a minimum 10 percent universal tariff on all imports into the United States, regardless of origin. This will […] April 3, 2025
Analysis Trade The Gulf must brace for indirect hits from Trump’s tariffs Gulf states may stave off new tariffs US president Donald Trump is expected to announce but the measures’ indirect impact on the global economy and oil prices loom large. The region’s focus, industry watchers say, should be on diversifying trade relationships while embracing the UAE and Saudi Arabia playbook of investing in the United States […] April 2, 2025
Analysis Mining Tech may find Saudi Arabia’s mineral wealth but mining will take years The rocky hills of western Saudi Arabia hide huge wealth, prospectors insist. The crags and crevices are part of the Arabian-Nubian Shield, an exposed Precambrian rock formation which runs from the west of the kingdom across the Red Sea to eastern Egypt and Sudan. The government estimates total mineral wealth at $2.5 trillion, more than […] April 1, 2025
Artificial Intelligence UAE-backed Cerebras passes US security check before IPO Cerebras Systems has cleared a US government review into its ties to the UAE’s G42, a spokesperson for the US artificial intelligence company told AGBI on Monday. The positive conclusion of the probe by the Committee on Foreign Investment in the United States (CFIUS) is expected to pave the way for the California-based company’s long-awaited […] April 1, 2025
Analysis Trade EU customs union makes Turkey a US tariff target Turkey’s customs entanglement with the European Union (EU) makes it vulnerable to retaliatory tariffs from the United States in the months ahead. The White House has collated a “dirty 15” list of countries which it alleges maintain unfair levies on goods and substantial trade surpluses over the US. They are expected to be the first […] March 27, 2025
Analysis Finance Turkish political turmoil risks undermining US investor appetite Last week’s arrest of the mayor of Istanbul and resulting political unrest in Turkey’s financial capital may cool US companies’ interest in doing business in the country, industry observers say. Ekrem İmamoğlu, a popular opposition figure who had been gearing up to run in the 2028 presidential election, was detained last Wednesday on charges of […] March 25, 2025
Opinion Economy Saudi Arabia’s $1 trillion Trump bet and its possible returns Recognition and security guarantees are among what the kingdom might be expecting March 20, 2025