Analysis
Trade

Hong Kong thrives as GCC-China ‘super-connector’

September 12, 2023, 11:33 AM

Hong Kong chief executive John Lee (centre) visited Dubai’s Museum of the Future in February

City hosts Belt and Road Summit this week
Hong Kong keen to attract Gulf companies
Analysts predict free trade deal with UAE

As Hong Kong prepares to host the Belt and Road Summit this week, its focus is increasingly turning to the Gulf for trade and investment opportunities.

The Chinese special administrative region has been strengthening its links with the Middle East since 2013, when the Belt and Road Initiative was launched. It now wants to attract more companies from the GCC, underscoring its pivotal role in China-Gulf relations.

A free trade deal with the UAE is also on the cards for Hong Kong, analysts have told AGBI.

Albert Wong, CEO of Hong Kong Science and Technology Parks Corporation, said last month that the city was “open to business especially in innovation”, adding: “We also want to attract technology from the Middle East to Hong Kong, which is a two-way track.”

Ahead of the Belt and Road gathering on September 13 and 14, Jimmy Chiang, acting director-general of investment promotion at government agency InvestHK, highlighted opportunities in biotechnology and artificial intelligence.

Sectors such as food, tourism, culture and retail are also in the mix following the launch of a $4 billion Hong Kong government investment fund aimed at tech companies.

The UAE is Hong Kong’s largest Middle East trading partner and its non-oil trade reached $11.7 billion during 2022, a 40 percent jump over the past five years.

Albert Wong, CEO of Hong Kong Science and Technology Parks Corporation, says the city is 'open to business especially in innovation' — Albert Wong (left) and Jimmy Chiang have highlighted investment opportunities in technology

Jimmy Chiang, acting director-general of investment promotion at InvestHK — Albert Wong (left) and Jimmy Chiang have highlighted investment opportunities in technology

In February, Dubai Chambers announced the opening of an office in Hong Kong, on the back of a visit to the UAE and Saudi Arabia by John Lee, the region’s chief executive.

Last week Emirates announced a third daily flight to Hong Kong starting in November “to meet market demand”.

Redmond Wong, a Saxo Bank analyst based in Hong Kong, told AGBI that the city had thrived as an “entrepôt” for trade and investment services, capitalising on China’s global trade growth.

“This symbiotic relationship is poised to continue, particularly given the waning trade ties with traditional partners like the US and Japan. The burgeoning economic connections between China and the GCC nations provide a promising avenue for Hong Kong’s trajectory,” he said.

UAE exports to Hong Kong were worth $10.7 billion in 2021 – outstripping those to mainland China, which stood at $9 billion.

“This underscores Hong Kong’s role in re-exporting UAE imports to mainland China,” Redmond Wong added.

A billboard on Hong Kong's waterfront shows its chief executive John Lee, alongside China's President Xi Jinping — A billboard on Hong Kong’s waterfront shows its chief executive John Lee, alongside China’s President Xi Jinping

Saudi Arabia is China’s largest trading partner in the Middle East, with bilateral trade reaching $106 billion in 2022. It is followed by the UAE at $72 billion. Over 6,000 Chinese companies operate in the UAE.

Vijay Valecha, chief investment officer at Century Financial, said the emergence of Saudi Arabia and the UAE as regional leaders had resulted in an increase in trade volumes between Hong Kong and other Gulf nations.

He told AGBI that the Belt and Road Summit was likely to lead to a number of tech-based agreements.

“The trade ties bode well for the budding tech scenario in UAE and Saudi Arabia,” he said.

Hong Kong’s role as a “super-connector” to China also presents an ideal location for GCC sovereign wealth funds to establish operational bases.

“In essence, Hong Kong emerges as the linchpin facilitating deeper economic integration between China and the GCC,” said Redmond Wong.

Towards a trade deal

Hong Kong and the UAE signed an Investment Promotion and Protection Agreement in 2019. Both Valecha and Redmond Wong see this as a step on the road to a free trade agreement (FTA).

“The need of the hour is a proper and logical bilateral FTA. The success of this FTA would also be emulated across other Gulf nations, thereby acting as a benchmark,” said Valecha.

Wong added: “The UAE’s pursuit of bilateral FTAs aligns seamlessly with Hong Kong’s interests.”

During Lee’s visit to the region in February, the Hong Kong CEO suggested his government could be amenable to talks, saying he was keen to take its relationship with the UAE “to a higher level”.