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Oil’s war risk premium and the GCC capital markets

Investors can no longer ignore the imminent IDF-Iran war in the heart of the world's pre-eminent oil province

oil war premium Shutterstock
Brent crude call options with a $100 strike price are being purchased to hedge commodity risk in London and Chicago

In the past two weeks there has been a sentiment shift in the oil futures markets, from the biggest net short position in the Brent contract to a $4 war risk premium in its current $74 price. 

This shift is entirely due to the escalatio...